newyorkwolverine.com

Michigan football memories and more from a New Yorker's perspective.

  • Iโ€™ll start from the top. Iowa vs. Iowa State. For years, this matchup has pitted the bright young coach (Matt Campbell of Iowa State) against the stodgy, old veteran whose teams are consistent, but maddeningly boring (KIrk Ferentz of Iowa). I think itโ€™ll be a close, hard-hitting contest, and one statistic stands out more than the others: The visiting team has won three years in a row. The game is at Iowa State, and I think that Iowaโ€™s slightly changed offense will be effective enough to get the Hawkeyes the win. 

    Duke football coach Manny Diaz is a defensive whiz. However, Illinois has the better defense, led by the Great Scotts (sorry, had to do that). These are safeties Xavier Scott and Miles Scott (not related). The safeties are critical to preventing Duke quarterback Darien Mensah from getting into a rhythm. This game will also provide more evidence that Illinois made a good choice by hiring Bret Bielema as head coach.ย 

    Last season, it took UCLA abount a month to start clicking. The Bruins are in a similar situation this season, and itโ€™s getting late early. 

    Rich Rodriguez takes his West Virginia Mountaineers to Athens, Ohio to face the Ohio Bobcats. Rodriguez teams know how to score in bunches, but they donโ€™t always know that much about ball security. Can West Virginia cut down on the turnovers? For Ohio, some changes are inevitable. Former coach Tim Albin is gone, and so are the three consecutive seasons of double-digit wins. New coach Brian Smith may be very good, but things are bound to be a little different. I think West Virginia wins, but it wonโ€™t be pretty. 

    Louisville has a lot more talent than James Madison, but the Dukes are tougher on both sides of the ball–or at least tougher than they were on the orange juice trading floor! New JMU coach Bob Chesney is pretty good, and his charges will keep the game close. 

    *-๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ๐˜€๐—ฒ ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜€ ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜ ๐—ฝ๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐˜€๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—น๐˜†, ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐˜€๐—ต๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—น๐—ฑ ๐—ป๐—ผ๐˜ ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ ๐˜‚๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—ด๐—ฎ๐—บ๐—ฏ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด. 

    Iowa 24, Iowa State 23 (ISU -3; O/U: 41.5)

    Illinois 28, Duke 24 (I -3; O/U: 49.5)

    UNLV 28, UCLA 27 (UCLA -2.5; O/U: 55.5)

    West Virginia 33, Ohio 28 (WVU -3.5; O/U: 60.5)

    Louisville 34, James Madison 22 (L -13.5; O/U: 55.5)

    NO POINT SPREAD:

    Slippery Rock 35, Franklin Pierce 10

    Hamden-Sydney 30, Delaware Valley 18

  • I usually write five โ€œLooking Backโ€ posts before a game, but Michigan has only played Oklahoma once, so it seemed pointless to write five posts. The Wolverines and the Sooners first met in the 1976 Orange Bowl, following the conclusion of the 1975 season. For several years, Michigan produced excellent won-loss records, only to be denied the opportunity to play in a bowl game because they failed to win the conference championship. In the 1975 season, the Big Ten conference chose to permit teams that had not won the conference championship to compete in bowl games, and the Wolverines jumped at the opportunity to play Oklahoma. 

    New Yearโ€™s Day dawned with Ohio State in the driverโ€™s seat for the national championship, but the top-ranked Buckeyes lost to UCLA in the Rose Bowl, 23-10, adding plenty of intrigue to the Orange Bowl. Oklahoma began the day ranked No. 2, and the Sooners knew that a win over Michigan would probably earn the national championship. 

    Michigan entered the Orange Bowl with an 8-1-2 record, having lost only to archrival Ohio State in the season finale. Following back-to-back ties early in the season, the Wolverines reeled off seven consecutive victories, highlighted by a pair of shutouts against Northwestern and Purdue. Michigan led Ohio State 14-7, but as the shadows grew longer at Michigan Stadium, the Wolverinesโ€™ fortunes began to unravel. Quarterback Rick Leach threw a pair of interceptions and Pete Johnson scored twice for Ohio State to give the Buckeyes a 21-14 victory. Few teams considered the Orange Bowl to be a consolation prize, but it never held the cache of the Rose Bowl in the eyes of Big Ten teams. 

    Oklahoma was led by the Selmon brothers, Lee Roy and Dewey, defensive linemen who were so dominant that the Wolverines had little hope of establishing a strong running game. Michigan stayed within one touchdown of Oklahoma until the fourth quarter, but the Sooners simply had too much talent and captured the national championship with a 14-6 victory. 

    Michigan had many talented young players and there was reason to be optimistic. Ricky Leach and the Michigan offense would improve with more experience. 

  • Iโ€™ll say this, itโ€™s very difficult to pick against the spread. 

    Not only did I think Clemson would beat LSU, but I figured the two opponents would drive the score well past the over/under. Instead, defense held sway, as Brian Kellyโ€™s team recorded quite possibly the biggest victory of his LSU tenure. 

    In Miami, itโ€™s pretty obvious now that coach Mario Cristobal is building something. In an early season game that fanned the flames of the Notre Dame-Miami rivalry, the โ€˜Canes had just a little bit more than Notre Dame on both sides of the ball. Maybe itโ€™s the result of Notre Dameโ€™s offense waking up a little too late. Either way, the โ€˜Canes are 1-0, and the Irish are 0-1. That having been said, Notre Dame fans can take solace in the fact that the College Football Playoff now permits a team to make an early misstep, and then correct it later on. 

    As always, t๐—ต๐—ฒ๐˜€๐—ฒ ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜€ ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜ ๐—ฝ๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐˜€๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—น๐˜†, ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐˜€๐—ต๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—น๐—ฑ ๐—ป๐—ผ๐˜ ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ ๐˜‚๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—ด๐—ฎ๐—บ๐—ฏ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด. 

    Auburn 28, Baylor 24 (A -2; O/U: 58.5)

    AUBURN 38, Baylor 24 (win)

    Temple 26, UMASS 25, (T -2.5; O/U: 47.5)

    TEMPLE 42, UMASS 10 (loss)

    Clemson 37, LSU 33 (C -4; O/U: 55.5)

    LSU 17, Clemson 10 (loss)

    Notre Dame 24, Miami 21 (ND -2.5; O/U: 49.5)

    MIAMI 27, Notre Dame 24 (loss)

    (1 win, 3 losses, .250 winning percentage)

    (Season record, 3 wins, 3 losses, .500 winning percentage)

  • The fifth installment of this weekโ€™s series looking back at Michigan football season openers takes us back to 1997. By 1997, much of the football world had taken to saying โ€œThe Block M stands for mediocrity.โ€ Michigan had produced several four-loss seasons, and teams were no longer in awe of the maize and blue. 

    The Wolverines started the 1997 campaign at home against Colorado, which had given the Wolverines fits in recent years. Pundits expected another close game, but this was a different group of Wolverines, and they were determined to dictate the tone of this game. Charles Woodston started things off by intercepting a Koy Detmer pass, and then Michigan QB Brian Griese connected with tight end Jerame Tuman, who bulled his way inside the 5-yard line. Fullback Chris Floyd then leaped over the pile and into the end zone, and Michigan took the early lead. A field goal by Kraig Baker just before halftime extended the lead to 10-0, but the Wolverines still hadnโ€™t completely demonstrated their capabilities. 

    Michigan continued to seize control in the third quarter. The offense used a methodical mix of running and passing to sustain long drives, while the defense hunted the Colorado offense mercilessly, foreshadowing its performance for the rest of the season. When it was over, Michigan had won, 27-3, leaving little doubt that this Michigan team much better was much better than it had been in recent seasons. Not even the most confident Michigan fan could anticipate what would occur over the next few months.ย 

  • The college football season heats up this weekend. I have a few thoughts on on some games.* 

    • I think Dave Aranda has a pretty tough team in Baylor, but Auburn simply has more talent. I think defensive end Keldric Faulk will find a way to pressure Baylor QB Sawyer Robertson, and Auburn should get the win. 
    • Don Brown amassed some good talent at UMASS, and now Joe Harasymiak inherits that roster. North Jersey folks might remember that name because Harasymiak hails from Waldwick, N.J. I think heโ€™ll have the Minutemen hitting hard. On the other side of the field, Temple has hired veteran coach K.C. Keeler, one of the most underrated coaches in college football. Keelerโ€™s tutelage should be just enough to help the Owls win a close one. 
    • LSU travels to Clemson this weekend. Each team is known for an awesome home field advantage, and the fact that the game is at Clemson could be a critical factor. LSU raided the transfer portal for defensive players, but will they all play in sync so early in the season? I think Clemson wins a wild affair in the fourth quarter by four points. 
    • C.J. Carr is slated to start at quarterback for Notre Dame, but I think the Irish could win with either Carr or Kenny Minchey playing quarterback. Jeremiyah Love and the running game will take a lot of pressure off the passing game, and when the Irish do pass, Malachi Fields and Jaden Greathouse should be able to get enough separation to help Notre Dame capitalize on some critical opportunities. Itโ€™ll be close, but I think Notre Dame wins by a field goal. 

    *-๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ๐˜€๐—ฒ ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜€ ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜ ๐—ฝ๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐˜€๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—น๐˜†, ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐˜€๐—ต๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—น๐—ฑ ๐—ป๐—ผ๐˜ ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ ๐˜‚๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—ด๐—ฎ๐—บ๐—ฏ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด. 

    Auburn 28, Baylor 24 (A -2; O/U: 58.5)

    Temple 26, UMASS 25, (T -2.5; O/U: 47.5)

    Clemson 37, LSU 33 (C -4; O/U:ย 55.5)

    Notre Dame 24, Miami 21 (ND -2.5; O/U: 49.5)

  • The fourth installment of this weekโ€™s series looking back at Michigan football season openers takes us back to 2017. For the second time in the decade, Michigan started the season with a neutral site game at AT&T Stadium in Dallas, Tex. Once again, the Wolverinesโ€™ opponent came from the Southeastern Conference. This time, it was Florida, which Michigan had defeated several times over the years. 

    Many pundits figured this game would be different, though. The Florida Gators had won 27 consecutive season-opening games. Michigan had lost Jabrill Peppers, who had declared for the draft. By now, coach Jim Harbaugh had the Wolverines back on the national radar screen, but surely the Gators would be too quick for them in this game.ย 

    Once the game began, Wolverine fans were the only people who werenโ€™t surprised by how quick Michiganโ€™s players were, at virtually every position. Michigan spotted Florida an early field goal before getting to work. Running back Ty Isaac got things started with a 36-yard run on 3rd down and 13, but the Wolverines were forced to settle for a Quinn Nordin field goal to tie the score. Then Wilton Speight connected with freshman receiver Tarik Black for a 46-yard touchdown pass, and Michigan appeared to be in the driverโ€™s seat. 

    That changed significantly when Speight threw a pair of pick-six interceptions. Suddenly the Wolverines were trailing by seven, rather than leading by seven.ย 

    Still, Michigan didnโ€™t panic. John Oโ€™Korn briefly replaced Speight, but his first drive ended with a blocked punt, and Florida threatened to take control of the game. The Michigan defense held, and Florida kicker Eddy Pineiro hooked his kick wide left, keeping Michigan within a touchdown.ย 

    Slowly, Michigan began to take charge. Nordin split the uprights with a 55-yard field goal to cut the deficit to four. Then Speight returned to the game. A quick snap on a fourth down led to a critical run by Isaac to gain a first down. A 3-yard TD run by Karan Higdon gave Michigan the lead for good early in the third quarter. The Wolverines then used every phase of the game, offense, defense, and special teams, to slowly tighten their grip on the game, leading to a 33-17 win that was much more one-sided than the score would indicate.ย 

    Unfortunately, this game turned out to be the highlight of the 2017 campaign for Michigan. A see-saw season ended with a record of 8-5. But on this day, Michigan was as efficient as a Detroit assembly line. 

  • The third installment of this weekโ€™s series looking back at Michigan football season openers takes us back to 2015. After four years of Brady Hoke, the football program had deteriorated considerably. A Change was necessary. 

    That change arrived in the form of Jim Harbaugh, the former Michigan quarterback. Instantly, the mood surrounding the Michigan football team improved 100 percent. Suddenly, the national media and the football world were obsessed with Michigan, and covered the Wolverines with a microscopic intensity. It was cool to wear maize and blue again. 

    For the first time in years, Michigan opened its season with a true road game, traveling to Utah to face the Utah Utes, coached by Kyle Whittingham. Wolverine fans and alumni traveled to Utah as if they were on a religious pilgrimage. Numerous stories appeared that Michigan fans were tipping generously in Utah restaurants. The level of preseason excitement was unprecedented in the modern era of Michigan football. 

    When the team took the field, it felt as if Harbaugh had restored the magic to Michigan football. The Wolverines even wore their traditional black football shoes again. Unfortunately, they also wore white pants, which had been justifiably mothballed since the mid-1970s. 

    Jake Rudock emerged as the teamโ€™s quarterback. Rudock and his receivers developed a synergy by the middle of the season, but it wasnโ€™t present in the first game. The Wolverines were just a hair off on both offense and defense. The team simply hadnโ€™t jelled yet. Rudock had midseason chemistry with tight end Jake Butt and receiver Amara Darboh, but everyone else was just a step late. There were plenty of opportunities, but the Wolverines only capitalized a few times. Had the teams faced each other later in the season, thereโ€™s a good chance that Michigan would have won. 

    The game ended with Utah winning, 24-17. The Wolverines got off to a slow start, but the benefits of this game would be felt a few weeks later. 

  • The second installment of this weekโ€™s series looking back at Michigan football season openers takes us back to 2012. There was a renewed optimism in the United States of America, and Ann Arbor was no exception. Head coach Brady Hoke had reestablished Michigan as a national college football power the previous season, leading the Wolverines to an 11-2 record, including wins over archrival Ohio State and Virginia Tech in the Sugar Bowl. Wolverine fans and alumni could certainly be forgiven for puffing out their chests a little bit. 

    Unlike most seasons, the Wolverines traveled to Dallas for their season opener in 2012, where they faced the defending national champions, the Alabama Crimson Tide. Most Michigan fans and alumni prefer to start the season with a home game, but playing on the road or at a neutral site can build a mental toughness that just canโ€™t be matched by a nice, cushy home game, particularly when the opponent is the national champion. 

    Unfortunately, any benefits Michigan derived from this game were not felt until much later in the season. Simply put, Michigan was overmatched, falling to the Crimson Tide, 41-14. There were a few bright spots: Michigan got a first down on the opening drive, and when the drive stalled, Will Hagerup boomed a monstrous punt deep into Alabama territory. Will Campbell, a former five-star recruit, recorded a 16-yard sack in the third quarter, one of the biggest plays of his career in Ann Arbor. 

    But in the end, Alabama just had too many weapons, and Michigan wasnโ€™t able to deal with them. Alabama scored touchdowns on two consecutive drives in the first quarter and cruised to an easy victory. 

    The benefits from playing a tough opponent? Michigan faced a tough game against Michigan State in the middle of the season, and by this time, the Wolverines had rounded into form. In a tough, gritty matchup, the Wolverines kept clawing away at the Spartans, and they earned a hard-fought victory when Brendan Gibbons knocked the winning field goal through the uprights in the closing moments. All in all, the 2012 season had its ups and downs, and Michigan finished with an 8-5 record. While the record might not reflect it, the Wolverines came a long way from that opening loss to the Crimson Tide, but they still had a long way to go. 

  • The first installment of this weekโ€™s series looking back at Michigan football games takes us to 1995. That season was a turning point for Michigan football. Gary Moellerโ€™s tenure as head coach at Michigan ended abruptly. Simply put, the program was in turmoil, and itโ€™s difficult to remember just how dark the mood was around the Michigan football program following Moellerโ€™s resignation. That was the environment in which Lloyd Carr began his tenure as the new Michigan head football coach. 

    Initially, Michigan hired Carr as head coach on an interim basis. He started his tenure as head coach with a passionate speech about the pressures of the job at his first press conference. Despite those challenges, few interim coaches achieved as much success as Carr.

    The 1995 season began on a brutally hot day at home in Michigan Stadium, in the Pigskin Classic against the Virginia Cavaliers. Oddsmakers expected Michigan to win the game handily, but Virginia proved an extremely tenacious opponent. Mike Groh scored on a quarterback keeper to give the Wahoos the early lead, and then Tiki Barber broke a tackle and outraced Chucky Winters to extend Virginiaโ€™s margin. After Virginia kicked a field goal, Michigan was trailing by a whopping 17 points, and it looked like the Carr era was off to a rocky start.

    Trailing by a wide margin in the fourth quarter, the Wolverines suddenly woke up and started playing Michigan football. Quarterback Scott Dreisbach connected a couple of times with Mercury Hayes, with Hayes wrestling the ball away from Ronde Barber on the second pass to give the Wolverines first down and goal to go at the Virginia 3-yard line. Dreisbach then handed off to Ed Davis, who ran right up the middle for a touchdown, and the Wolverines started to seize the momentum. On a later possession, Dreisbach was under pressure and barely got the pass off to Hayes, who scampered down the sideline for a touchdown, and Michigan was within one score, though time was not on the Wolverinesโ€™ side.

    The clock started to work against Michigan, limiting the Wolverinesโ€™ time for a comeback. Finally, it all came down to one play. Four seconds to go. Fourth down, with the ball on the Virginia 15-yard line. Michigan had to have a touchdown on this play, or Lloyd Carr would lose in his first game as Michiganโ€™s head coach.

    Dreisbach took the snap and threw a fade pass into the corner of the north end zone, where Hayes caught the ball and narrowly managed to get one foot in bounds. Touchdown, Michigan!

    The victory was arguably the most exciting win of any season-opening game in Michigan history. Carrโ€™s first team defeated Ohio State to end the regular season, and the university named him the head coach and removed the โ€œinterimโ€ tag. He enjoyed an excellent career at Michigan, leading the team to a perfect season and the Associated Press national championship in 1997. Carr coached the Wolverines for 13 seasons, and many coaches would be thrilled to have his record as a head coach.

  • Somehow, itโ€™s only fitting that my Stanford-Hawaii pick was backward. I said that Hawaii would win in the text of my post on Friday, but I listed the results in the opposite manner. Yeah, Iโ€™m still getting used to this blog thing, after years of relying on facebook. 

    A couple of thoughts on these two games.* Iowa State has a pair of very good cornerbacks, and they allowed defensive coordinator Jon Heacock to camouflage a lot of coverages, which made things difficult for Kansas State QB Avery Johnson. Iowa State coach Matt Campbell has a very good coaching staff, and Iโ€™m surprised that he hasnโ€™t jumped ship to take a lucrative offer at a high-profile school. 

    In terms of the Hawaii-Stanford game, any team visiting Hawaii endures a long commute, and thatโ€™s bound to affect their performance. Regardless of how strong the Rainbow Warriors are as a team, they enjoy one of the most effective home field advantages in the country. 

    Finally, long-time readers of my football posts will note the omission of a video at the end of this post. Sadly, that was bound to happen when I moved my predictions to a blog. Iโ€™m toying with the idea of leaving the high school predictions on facebook only, which would allow me to continue those video posts every week. 

    As always, the results are immediately beneath the predictions, with the winning team in ALL CAPS. Enjoy!

    *-๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ๐˜€๐—ฒ ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜€ ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜ ๐—ฝ๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐˜€๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—น๐˜†, ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐˜€๐—ต๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—น๐—ฑ ๐—ป๐—ผ๐˜ ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ ๐˜‚๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—ด๐—ฎ๐—บ๐—ฏ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด. 

    ๐‚๐Ž๐‹๐‹๐„๐†๐„

    Kansas State 26, Iowa State 25 (KSU -3; O/U: 50.5)

    IOWA STATE 24, Kansas State 21 (win)

    Hawaii 31, Stanford 24 (H -2.5; O/U: 50.5)

    HAWAII 23, Stanford 20 (win)

    2 wins, 0 losses. 1.000 winning percentage